On ordered subpopulations and population mortality at advanced ages.

نویسنده

  • Maxim Finkelstein
چکیده

We consider hazard (mortality) rates in heterogeneous populations consisting of ordered (in the defined stochastic sense) subpopulations. This setting can be interpreted via the fixed frailty models with one or more frailty parameters. The shape of the hazard rate is of main interest in this paper. Specifically, the deceleration and leveling off in the hazard rates (mortality plateaus) are discussed and some examples of lifetime distributions that can result in asymptotically flat hazard rates are considered. These examples are based on vitality models when an organism's initial vitality (resource) is 'consumed' in the course of life in accordance with a simple stochastic process (e.g., the Wiener process with drift or the gamma process).

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Ageing and Longevity: Mortality Laws and Mortality Forecasts for Ageing Populations [In Czech: Stárnutí a dlouhov kost: Zákony a prognózy úmrtnosti pro stárnoucí populace]

Increasing numbers of people surviving to advanced ages pose serious challenge to government pension systems and to the most industrialized societies. In the majority of developed countries fertility already reached very low levels and has little chances of radical changes, so mortality and mortality at advanced ages in particular is the main driving force behind the future population changes. ...

متن کامل

Association of cholesterol, LDL, HDL, cholesterol/ HDL and triglyceride with all-cause mortality in life insurance applicants.

OBJECTIVE Determine the relationship between various lipid tests and all-cause mortality in life insurance applicants stratified by age and sex. METHOD By use of the Social Security Death Master File, mortality was determined in 1,488,572 life insurance applicants from whom blood samples were submitted to Clinical Reference Laboratory. There were 41,020 deaths observed in this healthy adult p...

متن کامل

Mortality Measurement at Advanced Ages: A Study of the Social Administration Death Master File

Accurate estimates of mortality at advanced ages are essential to improving forecasts of mortality and the population size of the oldest old age group. However, estimation of hazard rates at extremely old ages poses serious challenges to researchers: (1) The observed mortality deceleration may be at least partially an artifact of mixing different birth cohorts with different mortality (heteroge...

متن کامل

Mortality Measurement at Advanced Ages: A Study of the Social Security Administration Death Master File.

Accurate estimates of mortality at advanced ages are essential to improving forecasts of mortality and the population size of the oldest old age group. However, estimation of hazard rates at extremely old ages poses serious challenges to researchers: (1) The observed mortality deceleration may be at least partially an artifact of mixing different birth cohorts with different mortality (heteroge...

متن کامل

Time-evolution of age-dependent mortality patterns in mathematical model of heterogeneous human population.

The widely-known Gompertz law of mortality states the exponential increase of mortality with age in human populations. Such an exponential increase is observed at the adulthood span, roughly after the reproductive period, while mortality data at young and extremely old ages deviate from it. The heterogeneity of human populations, i.e. the existence of subpopulations with different mortality dyn...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Theoretical population biology

دوره 81 4  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2012